How Much You May Actually Save Upgrading Your Furnace Efficiency

Comparing the Cost of an 80% vs. 96% Efficient Furnace in Denver

If your furnace is aging, you might be wondering whether it’s worth upgrading to a higher-efficiency unit. Here’s a look at what that really costs — and saves — in a typical Denver winter.


Furnace Efficiency Basics

Furnaces are rated using AFUE (Annual Fuel Utilization Efficiency):

  • 80% AFUE: 80% of the fuel burned becomes heat for your home, 20% lost up the flue
  • 96% AFUE: 96% of fuel becomes heat, only 4% lost

That difference may seem small, but over an entire Denver winter, it can add up.


Denver Winter Heating Scenario

Assumptions based on Denver climate:

  • 1,500 sq ft single-story home with basement
  • Heating load ≈ 60–65 MMBTU per season (rough estimate based on 5,800 heating degree days)
  • Natural gas cost ≈ $1.30 per therm (100,000 BTUs per therm)

Seasonal Gas Usage

80% AFUE furnace:

  • 65 MMBTU ÷ 0.80 ≈ 81.25 MMBTU of gas burned
  • Convert to therms: 81.25 ÷ 0.1 ≈ 812.5 therms
  • Seasonal cost: 812.5 × $1.30 ≈ $1,056

96% AFUE furnace:

  • 65 MMBTU ÷ 0.96 ≈ 67.7 MMBTU of gas burned
  • Convert to therms: 67.7 ÷ 0.1 ≈ 677 therms
  • Seasonal cost: 677 × $1.30 ≈ $880

Seasonal Savings: $1,056 – $880 ≈ $176 per winter


Replacement Cost

  • 80% AFUE furnace: $5,500 installed
  • 96% AFUE furnace: $7,500 installed

Difference in upfront cost: $2,000


Estimated Payback Time

Payback = Extra cost ÷ Annual savings
$2,000 ÷ $176 ≈ 11.4 years

So purely on gas savings in Denver’s winter, it takes a bit more than 11 years to recoup the higher installation cost.


Things to Keep in Mind

  • Comfort and features: 96% furnaces often have variable-speed blowers and better temperature control.
  • Reliability and warranty: Newer, high-efficiency models may have longer or more comprehensive warranties.
  • Incentives: Some Xcel rebates or financing can reduce the effective cost greatly as well.

Bottom Line

Upgrading from 80% to 96% efficiency does save money on natural gas, but the payback in Denver winters is slow if gas savings is your only goal. For many homeowners, the decision comes down to comfort, long-term reliability, and available incentives — not just the energy savings.

Premier Mechanical – www.claimyourcomfort.com – 720.207.6812

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